The ETF Exit Went Into a Third Day: $201 Million More Out, and the Year Is Now Negative

The ETF Exit Went Into a Third Day: $201 Million More Out, and the Year Is Now Negative — BogusAPY title card

The day in one breath: Monday gave crypto a clean test and crypto failed it. Stocks roared back — the Nasdaq surged nearly 3% — while Bitcoin closed the day up 0.7% and the funds that were supposed to be its permanent bid took out another $201 million, on top of the worst week since June. The day's one green headline with a real institution behind it belonged to Avalanche, picked by the New York Stock Exchange to settle tokenized stocks; and the Binance launderers showed off a new trick: washing stolen money through memecoins they minted themselves for about $90 apiece.

Context: BTC closed $75,267 (+0.7%) on Nov 9 (CoinGecko daily close) — Fear & Greed 29 (Fear).

#1 — The ETF exit went into a third day, and the year flipped negative

What happened: The demand engine of this cycle spent Monday in reverse. CoinDesk's Daybook, citing SoSoValue, put last week's net outflow from US spot bitcoin ETFs at $1.282 billion — the largest weekly withdrawal since the week of June 22–28, with four of the five trading days in the red. That week flipped the funds' year-to-date flow tally to −$914 million: as of September 22 the funds were positive for the year after more than $6 billion of inflows since early August, and one bad week erased all of it. Monday then extended the run. Spot bitcoin ETFs lost another $201 million on November 9 (US Eastern), a third straight outflow day: BlackRock's IBIT alone shed $213.2 million and ARK's ARKB $9.9 million, partly offset by Morgan Stanley's MSBT taking in $22.1 million, the day's only inflow. Cumulative November withdrawals reached about $1.48 billion. Ethereum funds bled in parallel: spot ether ETFs lost $184.6 million on Monday, their worst day of November, after $365 million of outflows last week. The morning tape matched the flows: CoinDesk's Markets Today counted only five of the 100 largest cryptocurrencies up 1% or more over 24 hours (ARB, RNDR, PEPE, QNT and GT), futures volume up more than 200% to $180 billion, liquidations at $1.1 billion, ether down 5.9% in that snapshot after closing Sunday below its 200-day moving average for the first time since August 18, and bitcoin's one-week implied volatility jumping from about 33% to 43%. Then stocks voted the other way: the Nasdaq Composite surged nearly 3% on Monday while bitcoin managed a 0.7% UTC-day gain to close at $75,267 and ether 0.4% to $2,132. The one reliable corporate buyer was buying small and spending bigger elsewhere: Strategy's November 9 SEC filing shows it bought 1,036 BTC between November 2 and 8 for $81.9 million at a $79,012 average — lifting holdings to 850,364 BTC at an all-in average cost of $75,456, above Monday's price — while spending $188.3 million, more than double the bitcoin buy, repurchasing its own STRC preferred shares, all funded by $283.8 million of MSTR common-share sales.

Why it matters: Follow the money and the story writes itself. The ETF complex was the marginal buyer that turned bitcoin into an energy-backed currency with an institutional bid under it; for the year as a whole, that bid is now net negative. Monday matters because it removed the easy excuse: this was not a day when everything fell. Equities staged their biggest relief rally in weeks and crypto's funds still shrank — the selling is crypto-specific, not macro. Strategy's filing sharpens the point: even the market's most committed buyer directed most of its fresh shareholder money to propping up its own preferred stock rather than into bitcoin, and its $75,456 average cost now sits above the price, so the "Strategy put" is underwater on paper. What decides whether this is a flush or a trend is scheduled: Tuesday's US inflation print, with $73,000 flagged as the support that cannot break.

Source: CoinDesk Daybook — Bitcoin bulls can't rely on ETF flows (Nov 9, 7:30 AM EST; SoSoValue weekly flow, year-to-date tally); CoinDesk Markets Today — Nvidia-led tech selloff weighs on crypto majors (Nov 9, 6:42 AM EST; gainers count, futures volume, liquidations, ether moving average, implied volatility); Nov 9 daily flows — SoSoValue/Farside figures via KuCoin News flash (BTC −$201M, IBIT −$213.2M, ETH −$184.6M) and the Motley Fool — Crypto Market Today, Nov. 9 (Nasdaq nearly +3%, BTC/ETH/SOL evening prices, last week's $365M ether ETF outflow); Strategy's Nov 9 Form 8-K via Bitcoin.com News (1,036 BTC, $79,012 average, 850,364 BTC holdings, $75,456 average cost, $188.3M STRC repurchase)

#2 — The NYSE picked Avalanche to settle tokenized stocks. AVAX jumped 9%. Read the chain detail.

What happened: The New York Stock Exchange picked its settlement ledger, and it is a crypto chain's technology. CoinDesk reported Monday morning that NYSE's planned tokenized-securities platform will use Avalanche as the core ledger for clearing and settling trades: Avalanche will provide the ledger technology to the clearing firm supporting the upcoming NYSE-affiliated alternative trading system, a venue designed for trading and settlement around the clock, pending regulatory approval. A November 5 SEC filing had already disclosed that NYSE tested Avalanche for roughly a year. The detail that decides what this is worth sits in CoinDesk's update: NYSE will operate its own custom blockchain built on Avalanche's technology, tailored to the platform's regulatory needs, rather than settling on Avalanche's public blockchain — Ava Labs chief business officer John Nahas confirmed the setup in an interview. The market priced the headline anyway: AVAX rose 8% over 24 hours in CoinDesk's snapshot, printed as high as $8.77 intraday, and closed the UTC day at $8.64, up 9.0% from Sunday's $7.93 close — on a day when almost nothing else large was green. Avalanche futures open interest stood near $382 million.

Why it matters: Separate the two questions BogusAPY always asks. Question one: is the adoption real? Yes — the largest US stock exchange spent a year testing this stack and chose it to clear tokenized equities; that is a precedent every other chain now has to answer. Question two: where does the money land? Settlement fees on a private, NYSE-operated chain built with Avalanche technology do not automatically become fees on the public Avalanche network, and nothing published Monday discloses a gas asset, a validator arrangement or a revenue share that routes value to AVAX holders. The token rallied 9% on a technology licensing story whose cash flows, if any, have not been shown to touch the token. That gap — real adoption, unproven capture — is exactly what the price has to close with filings, not press releases, before the rally is anything more than a headline trade.

Source: CoinDesk — NYSE taps Avalanche for tokenized stock settlement; AVAX price gains (Nov 9, 8:40 AM EST, updated 16:32 UTC; platform design, custom-chain detail from Ava Labs' John Nahas, AVAX +8% snapshot, regulatory-approval condition); year-long NYSE testing per a Nov 5 SEC filing as reported by The Market Periodical (Nov 9); AVAX UTC-day close $8.64 (+9.0%) — CoinGecko daily close

#3 — Binance's launderers are minting their own memecoins to wash the loot

What happened: The launderers moving the Binance theft money have started minting their own washing machines. Elliptic reported Monday that the group created six throwaway memecoins on the NEAR blockchain between November 5 and 7 — FUK, OLCCL, MEILI, MMLI, DABI and SINU — each costing about 25 NEAR, roughly $90, to create, dressed in standard memecoin branding (one carries an "Elon 2028 President" banner; Elliptic notes no suggestion of any connection to Musk). About 117,000 NEAR, worth roughly $430,000, passed through the six tokens' liquidity pools: one set of wallets bought the tokens with stolen NEAR, a separate set sold them back, so the payout wallets' money reads as trading profit instead of hack proceeds. Stolen funds never moved directly between the two wallet sets — the liquidity pool is the only link — which means address blocklists alone cannot flag the payouts; compliance teams have to trace what funded each pool. Almost all trading in the six tokens came from the launderers' own wallets, each token did most of its trading within a single day, and none has traded since November 8. The memecoins are one lane of a much wider operation: Elliptic counts more than 20,000 wallets across 16 blockchains and at least 36 services, roughly 7,000 ether (about $15 million) sent into Tornado Cash since November 8, and about 12,200 ether (about $29 million), mostly from sales of stolen SOL, routed through THORChain into bitcoin. A similar homemade token was spotted on Tron on November 2, and Elliptic first documented the technique after the 2025 Bybit hack. The bulk has not moved: about $3.13 billion remains in hacker-linked wallets, mainly bitcoin and ether, while about $2.85 billion has been frozen or intercepted, per Binance co-CEO Richard Teng via Bloomberg on Monday. About 11.8 million NEAR from the theft (about $43.7 million) still sits untouched. The FBI attributes the October 29 theft to North Korea's TraderTraitor operation; North Korea denied the accusation on November 3.

Why it matters: Do not be fooled by the small number — $430,000 is less than 0.01% of a $6.3 billion theft, and that is the point. For about $90 a token, the launderers can manufacture a clean-looking profit history that defeats the industry's standard defence, the address blocklist, because no flagged wallet ever touches the payout wallet. Elliptic's warning to exchanges, bridges and stablecoin issuers is the actionable part: funds arriving from a liquidity pool are not clean by default, and the funding side of the pool is now part of the audit trail. The strategic picture is unchanged and still the real story: with $3.13 billion sitting still and $2.85 billion frozen, the group is prototyping exits in $90 increments — the memecoin lane is a test, and tests that work get scaled.

Source: CoinDesk — North Korean hackers are creating memecoins to wash loot from $6.3 billion Binance hack (Nov 9, 10:00 AM EST; Elliptic report, six tokens, 117,000 NEAR); pool-linkage mechanics, token creation cost and timing, wider laundering counts and the unmoved 11.8M NEAR — Elliptic via Tech Times (Nov 9 report) and Gizmodo (Nov 9); frozen/intercepted $2.85B figure — Binance co-CEO Richard Teng via Bloomberg, carried by PYMNTS (Nov 9)

Most-searched today

Prices are CoinGecko rolling 24h at check time (early Nov 10 UTC), which differ from the UTC-day closes used above.

  • HYPE — Hyperliquid — $74.57 (+0.7%): A real, dated November 9 catalyst: Kinetiq launched Elysium, its Hyperliquid layer-2, on public mainnet at 13:00 UTC — an Arbitrum-built chain that settles to HyperEVM and uses HYPE as its native gas token, with 100-millisecond blocks, a 300 Mgas/s execution target and day-one partners including Alchemy, Arbitrum, Conduit and Uniswap. HYPE closed the UTC day up 0.9% at $75.10. BogusAPY score read: HYPE is the native token of Hyperliquid's own layer-1, and Elysium gives it a second job as gas — but read the fee split before calling it capture: 50% of Elysium's sequencer revenue is earmarked to buy back KNTQ, Kinetiq's token, not HYPE. HYPE gets the usage; the revenue headline belongs to someone else's token.
  • BTC — Bitcoin — $74,616 (+0.8%): Both the second most-searched coin and tonight's story #1 — the $201 million Monday ETF outflow, the $1.282 billion week and the flipped year-to-date tally are covered above, not repeated here.
  • AVAX — Avalanche — $8.51 (+8.0%): Both a most-searched coin and tonight's story #2 — the NYSE settlement announcement, the custom-chain catch and the 9.0% UTC-day close are covered above, not repeated here.
  • PENGU — Pudgy Penguins — $0.00636 (+3.8%): The only dated November 9 item is small: The Huddle, the project's community hub, launched Flake Finder, a free tool that scans a pasted wallet address for small forgotten balances across chains, with no wallet connection required. That is a community freebie, not a token event — nothing about it changes PENGU's supply or revenue, so the search interest reads as brand attention plus a modest green day in a red week (PENGU was down about 14% over the prior seven days). The dated supply event on the calendar is the other direction: posts tracking the schedule cite a November 17 unlock of about 703 million tokens. BogusAPY score read: PENGU is a token riding an NFT brand's retail push; a wallet-scanning tool adds users to a hub, not value to the token — the unlock date is the number that matters this month.
  • PEPE — Pepe — $0.00000531 (+5.3%): Catalyst check: no fresh catalyst — attention and derivatives churn only. What is documented for November 9 is relative strength: PEPE was one of only five top-100 coins up at least 1% in CoinDesk's Monday-morning snapshot while the majors fell, and CoinEdition's November 9 analysis put its derivatives volume up 95% to about $563 million while open interest rose just 3.4% — trading nearly doubled while committed leverage barely moved. BogusAPY score read: PEPE is a token with no cash flows and no issuer revenue to capture; volume doubling on flat open interest is turnover, not new money arriving — the searches are chasing the one green frog in a red market.

Source: trending list and prices — CoinGecko, checked Nov 10, 2026; HYPE/Elysium — Kinetiq's GlobeNewswire release (Nov 9, 13:38 UTC; mainnet live, HYPE gas, 100ms blocks, 300 Mgas/s target, partner list) and the previously published Elysium fee rule (50% of sequencer revenue to KNTQ buybacks); PENGU — CoinMarketCap's PENGU updates (Flake Finder launch, Nov 9) and CryptoPanic/BSCNews (Nov 9, 01:44 UTC), with the Nov 17 unlock figure as cited in CoinStats' Nov 9 PENGU coverage (schedule posts, not an official Pengu announcement); PEPE — CoinDesk Markets Today (Nov 9 gainers list) and CoinEdition (Nov 9; CoinGlass derivatives volume +95%, open interest +3.4%).

Oversold corner

Universe: 50 largest cryptocurrencies by market cap (CoinGecko), excluding stablecoins and wrapped/pegged tokens; 14-day RSI from daily closes, checked early Nov 10 UTC. Prices are rolling 24h at check time.

  • RAIN — $0.00455 (−5.5%) — RSI 23.8
  • SOL — $85.99 (−0.1%) — RSI 24.2
  • OKB — $96.58 (−0.6%) — RSI 24.5
  • XRP — $1.10 (+0.7%) — RSI 25.2
  • XLM — $0.149 (+2.4%) — RSI 26.7

Tomorrow: US October inflation (CPI) prints at 8:30 AM ET — consensus +0.3% on the month, core +0.2% — with bitcoin boxed above the $73,000 support analysts say cannot break.

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Sources checked Nov 10, 2026, covering the Nov 9 UTC day (BTC/ETH/AVAX/HYPE UTC-day closes, trending list and RSI screener: CoinGecko; Fear & Greed: alternative.me — Nov 9 reading 29, Fear; ETF flows: CoinDesk Daybook's SoSoValue weekly figures and SoSoValue/Farside daily figures for Nov 9 carried by KuCoin News, CryptoTimes and the Motley Fool — the −$914M year-to-date tally is CoinDesk/SoSoValue's, the $1.48B cumulative November figure is Farside's via CryptoTimes; Monday market snapshots: CoinDesk Markets Today's 6:42 AM EST snapshot and the Motley Fool's early-evening Nov 9 snapshot differ in timing and venue, and both are reported as snapshots, not closes; NYSE/Avalanche: CoinDesk's Nov 9 report — the platform is planned and conditional on regulatory approval, and the custom-chain detail is Ava Labs' account given to CoinDesk; Binance laundering: Elliptic's Nov 9 report via CoinDesk, Tech Times and Gizmodo — the $430,000 NEAR figure, wallet/service counts and Tornado Cash/THORChain amounts are Elliptic's on-chain estimates, the $2.85B frozen figure is Binance co-CEO Richard Teng's via Bloomberg, and North Korea denies the FBI's TraderTraitor attribution; Strategy: the company's Nov 9 Form 8-K as reported — its reported holdings total (850,364 BTC) is one coin above its prior balance plus the stated purchase, a discrepancy in the filing coverage that the company has not explained; CPI consensus: Dow Jones estimates via CoinDesk. Not financial advice.

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